The Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkans: population dynamics reconstruction based on new radiocarbon evidence
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2021
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In this paper, we test the hypothesis of the Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkan Early Neolithic (6250-5300 BC) by applying the method of summed calibrated probability distributions to the set of more than 200 new radiocarbon dates from Serbia. The results suggest that there was an increase in population size after the first farmers arrived to the study area around 6250 BC. This increase lasted for approximately 250 years and was followed by a decrease in the population size proxy after 6000 BC, reaching its minimum around 5800 BC. This was followed by another episode of growth until 5600 BC when population size proxy rapidly declined, reaching the minimum again around 5500 BC. The reconstructed intrinsic growth rate value indicates that the first episode of growth might have been fuelled both by high fertility and migrations, potentially related to the effects of the 8.2 ky event. The second episode of population growth after 5800 BC was probably owing to the high f...ertility alone. It remains unclear what caused the episodes of population decrease. This article is part of the theme issue 'Cross-disciplinary approaches to prehistoric demography'.
Ključne reči:
radiocarbon / palaeodemography / Neolithic demographic transition / Central BalkansIzvor:
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 2021, 376, 1816Izdavač:
- Royal Society Publishing
Finansiranje / projekti:
- Births, mothers and babies: prehistoric fertility in the Balkans between 10000-5000 BC (EU-H2020-640557)
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0712
ISSN: 0962-8436
PubMed: 33250033
WoS: 000596019800013
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85090047571
Institucija/grupa
Arheologija / ArchaeologyTY - JOUR AU - Porčić, Marko AU - Blagojević, Tamara AU - Pendić, Jugoslav AU - Stefanović, Sofija PY - 2021 UR - http://reff.f.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3290 AB - In this paper, we test the hypothesis of the Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkan Early Neolithic (6250-5300 BC) by applying the method of summed calibrated probability distributions to the set of more than 200 new radiocarbon dates from Serbia. The results suggest that there was an increase in population size after the first farmers arrived to the study area around 6250 BC. This increase lasted for approximately 250 years and was followed by a decrease in the population size proxy after 6000 BC, reaching its minimum around 5800 BC. This was followed by another episode of growth until 5600 BC when population size proxy rapidly declined, reaching the minimum again around 5500 BC. The reconstructed intrinsic growth rate value indicates that the first episode of growth might have been fuelled both by high fertility and migrations, potentially related to the effects of the 8.2 ky event. The second episode of population growth after 5800 BC was probably owing to the high fertility alone. It remains unclear what caused the episodes of population decrease. This article is part of the theme issue 'Cross-disciplinary approaches to prehistoric demography'. PB - Royal Society Publishing T2 - Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences T1 - The Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkans: population dynamics reconstruction based on new radiocarbon evidence IS - 1816 VL - 376 DO - 10.1098/rstb.2019.0712 ER -
@article{ author = "Porčić, Marko and Blagojević, Tamara and Pendić, Jugoslav and Stefanović, Sofija", year = "2021", abstract = "In this paper, we test the hypothesis of the Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkan Early Neolithic (6250-5300 BC) by applying the method of summed calibrated probability distributions to the set of more than 200 new radiocarbon dates from Serbia. The results suggest that there was an increase in population size after the first farmers arrived to the study area around 6250 BC. This increase lasted for approximately 250 years and was followed by a decrease in the population size proxy after 6000 BC, reaching its minimum around 5800 BC. This was followed by another episode of growth until 5600 BC when population size proxy rapidly declined, reaching the minimum again around 5500 BC. The reconstructed intrinsic growth rate value indicates that the first episode of growth might have been fuelled both by high fertility and migrations, potentially related to the effects of the 8.2 ky event. The second episode of population growth after 5800 BC was probably owing to the high fertility alone. It remains unclear what caused the episodes of population decrease. This article is part of the theme issue 'Cross-disciplinary approaches to prehistoric demography'.", publisher = "Royal Society Publishing", journal = "Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences", title = "The Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkans: population dynamics reconstruction based on new radiocarbon evidence", number = "1816", volume = "376", doi = "10.1098/rstb.2019.0712" }
Porčić, M., Blagojević, T., Pendić, J.,& Stefanović, S.. (2021). The Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkans: population dynamics reconstruction based on new radiocarbon evidence. in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Royal Society Publishing., 376(1816). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0712
Porčić M, Blagojević T, Pendić J, Stefanović S. The Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkans: population dynamics reconstruction based on new radiocarbon evidence. in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 2021;376(1816). doi:10.1098/rstb.2019.0712 .
Porčić, Marko, Blagojević, Tamara, Pendić, Jugoslav, Stefanović, Sofija, "The Neolithic Demographic Transition in the Central Balkans: population dynamics reconstruction based on new radiocarbon evidence" in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 376, no. 1816 (2021), https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0712 . .