Jedan primer formalne koherencije

Abstract

Cilj ovog rada je da se prikaže jedan vid probabilističke formalizacije relacije koherencije. U tu svrhu, daćemo odgovor na pitanje kakvi sve, za koherenciju relevantni odnosi, mogu biti među verovanjima. Posle toga, pokušaćemo da pokažemo kako se, primenjivanjem određenih probabilističkih teorija konfirmacije na te odnose, može stići do obrisa jedne probabilističke teorije koherencije. Ukazaćemo i na određene probleme te teorije. Na kraju rada, sumiramo razlike između intuitivne i probabilističke koherencije i navodimo razloge zašto bi uspešna formalizacija ove relacije trebalo da bude poželjan rezultat u epistemologiji.

The aim of this paper is to present one case of probabilistic formalization of our intuitive notion of coherence. To that end, we will have to provide answers for the questions, what are all relevant relations between beliefs, as far as coherence is concerned, and of course, what is intuitive coherence. After we settle those questions, we will try to show how, by applying certain probabilsitic theories of confirmation to those relations, we can arrive at a basic probabilistic theory of coherence. We will point out certain problems of that theory. At the end of the paper, we will sum up the differences between intuitive and probabilistic coherence, and we will try to provide reasons why the succesfull formalization of this relation, should be a desired result in epistemology